Chichester City x Dulwich Betting tips for October 1 in England Isthmian Premier Division

Our betting tip for Chichester City x Dulwich, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:45

Chichester City 2.41

X 3.66

Dulwich 2.41

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chichester City x Dulwich:

🔮 Chichester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chichester City, you can win up to $1205.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chichester City x Dulwich: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chichester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $237.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dulwich in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Chichester City scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 Chichester City matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Chichester City conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Dulwich conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Chichester City x Dulwich for the England Isthmian Premier Division – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chichester City x Dulwich right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chichester City x Dulwich

Is it worth betting on Chichester City?

🔵 Chichester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $634.50
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$84.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $505.40
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$304.60.

Should you bet on Dulwich?

🔴 Dulwich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $507.60
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chichester City x Dulwich

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Chichester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chichester City x Dulwich

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Chichester City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Chichester City.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Chichester City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chichester City x Dulwich

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.