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Home » Predictions » Others » Chippenham Town x Truro City Betting tips for March 11 in England National League South
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h45 England National League South
Chippenham Town Chippenham Town
PREDICTION Truro City Wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Truro City Truro City
ODD: @1.84 Don't miss this prediction!

Chippenham Town x Truro City Betting tips for March 11 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Chippenham Town x Truro City, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
📅 11/3/2025
19:45
Chippenham Town Chippenham Town
3.90
X
3.40
Truro City Truro City
1.84

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chippenham Town x Truro City:

🔮 Truro City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Truro City, you can win up to $920.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Chippenham Town x Truro City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chippenham Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Truro City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $185.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Chippenham Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Truro City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Chippenham Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Truro City is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Chippenham Town has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Truro City playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chippenham Town x Truro City for the England National League South – 11 of March

🏟️ Chippenham Town X Truro City – England National League South
📅 11 of March, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Chippenham Town – Winning probability: 15.96% | Fair line: 6.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.04% | Fair line: 4.54
🔴 Truro City – Winning probability: 62.00% | Fair line: 1.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Chippenham Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chippenham Town x Truro City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chippenham Town x Truro City

Is betting on Chippenham Town worth it?

🔵 Chippenham Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $464.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$376.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Should you bet on Truro City?

🔴 Truro City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $520.80;
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chippenham Town x Truro City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Chippenham Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chippenham Town x Truro City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Chippenham Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Chippenham Town. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chippenham Town x Truro City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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