Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23 Betting tips for April 15 in Mexico U23 League
| 📅 15/4/2025 15:03 |
 Chivas Guadalajara U231.98 |
X 3.51 |
Puebla U23 3.25 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23:
🔮 Chivas Guadalajara U23 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chivas Guadalajara U23, you can win up to $990.00!
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The main points for the tip for Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. |
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Analysis from Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23 for the Mexico U23 League – 15 of April
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🏟️ Chivas Guadalajara U23 X Puebla U23 – Mexico U23 League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23
Is it worth betting on Chivas Guadalajara U23?
🔵 Chivas Guadalajara U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 610 times – profiting $597.80;
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$207.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $552.20
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$227.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Puebla U23?
🔴 Puebla U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $382.50
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Chivas Guadalajara U23
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Chivas Guadalajara U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Chivas Guadalajara U23.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chivas Guadalajara U23 x Puebla U23
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
