Chorley x Buxton Betting tips for February 4 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Chorley x Buxton, Tuesday, 4/2/2025

📅 4/2/2025 19:45

Chorley 2.10

X 3.40

Buxton 2.93

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chorley x Buxton:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Chorley x Buxton

Important information for your tip for Chorley x Buxton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chorley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-205.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Buxton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $105.0.

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Analysis from Chorley x Buxton for the England National League North – 4 of February

When the best bet on Chorley x Buxton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256585 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chorley x Buxton

Is betting on Chorley worth it?

🔵 Chorley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $506.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $672.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$48.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Buxton?

🔴 Buxton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $501.80;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$238.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chorley x Buxton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Chorley
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chorley x Buxton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Chorley, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Chorley. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chorley x Buxton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.