Cienciano x Alianza Universidad Betting tips for April 13 in Peru Liga 1
| 📅 13/4/2025 00:00 |
 Cienciano1.65 |
X 3.85 |
Alianza Universidad  4.47 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cienciano x Alianza Universidad:
🔮 Cienciano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cienciano, you can win up to $825.00!
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Important information for your tip for Cienciano x Alianza Universidad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cienciano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-360.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Cienciano x Alianza Universidad?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cienciano x Alianza Universidad, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Cienciano x Alianza Universidad for the Peru Liga 1 – 13 of April
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🏟️ Cienciano X Alianza Universidad – Peru Liga 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cienciano and Alianza Universidad.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302086 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cienciano x Alianza Universidad
Is betting on Cienciano worth it?
🔵 Cienciano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
- And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$320.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $342.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$538.00.
Is betting on Alianza Universidad worth it?
🔴 Alianza Universidad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $277.60;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$642.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cienciano x Alianza Universidad
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cienciano
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cienciano x Alianza Universidad
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cienciano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cienciano.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cienciano x Alianza Universidad
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
