Cienciano x Sporting Cristal Betting tips for July 5 in Peru Liga 1
📅 5/7/2025 20:15 |
![]() 2.01 |
X 3.40 |
Sporting Cristal ![]() 3.30 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cienciano x Sporting Cristal:
🔮 Cienciano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cienciano, you can win up to $1005.00!
Important information for your tip for Cienciano x Sporting Cristal:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cienciano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $93.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Cristal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cienciano scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sporting Cristal, Cienciano scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Cienciano matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sporting Cristal conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Cienciano is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Cienciano has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sporting Cristal playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Sporting Cristal as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Cienciano x Sporting Cristal for the Peru Liga 1 – 5 of July
🏟️ Cienciano X Sporting Cristal – Peru Liga 1
📅 5 of July, 2025 – 20:15
🔵 Cienciano – Winning probability: 55.46% | Fair line: 1.8
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.45% | Fair line: 5.42
🔴 Sporting Cristal – Winning probability: 26.09% | Fair line: 3.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cienciano
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cienciano x Sporting Cristal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1348834 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cienciano x Sporting Cristal
Should you bet on Cienciano?
🔵 Cienciano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 550 times – profiting $555.50;
- And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$105.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$388.00.
Is it worth betting on Sporting Cristal?
🔴 Sporting Cristal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $598.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cienciano x Sporting Cristal
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cienciano
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cienciano x Sporting Cristal
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cienciano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cienciano.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cienciano x Sporting Cristal
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.