Cinfaes x AD Camacha Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Cinfaes x AD Camacha, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025
11:00

Cinfaes
1.60

X
3.50

AD Camacha

5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cinfaes x AD Camacha:

🔮 Cinfaes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cinfaes, you can win up to $800.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Important information for your tip for Cinfaes x AD Camacha:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cinfaes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Camacha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Cinfaes did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, AD Camacha scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Cinfaes matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 AD Camacha matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, AD Camacha conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for AD Camacha as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

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Analysis from Cinfaes x AD Camacha for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 9 of March

🏟️ Cinfaes X AD Camacha – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Cinfaes – Winning probability: 71.32% | Fair line: 1.4
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.08% | Fair line: 4.53
🔴 AD Camacha – Winning probability: 6.60% | Fair line: 15.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cinfaes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cinfaes x AD Camacha is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cinfaes x AD Camacha

Is it worth betting on Cinfaes?

🔵 Cinfaes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $426.00
And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$136.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Should you bet on AD Camacha?

🔴 AD Camacha: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $280.00;
And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$650.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cinfaes x AD Camacha

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cinfaes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cinfaes x AD Camacha

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cinfaes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Cinfaes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 AD Camacha.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cinfaes x AD Camacha

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.