Cinfaes x AD Marco 09 Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
π
30/11/2024 15:00 |
Cinfaes 2.00 |
X 3.00 |
AD Marco 09 3.52 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09
The main points for the tip for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09: π If you had bet $100 on Cinfaes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0. |
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Analysis from Cinfaes x AD Marco 09 for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November
ποΈ Cinfaes X AD Marco 09 – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cinfaes and AD Marco 09.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09
Is it a good idea to bet on Cinfaes?
π΅ Cinfaes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$120.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on AD Marco 09?
π΄ AD Marco 09: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $554.40
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$225.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cinfaes x AD Marco 09
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cinfaes
β½ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cinfaes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cinfaes.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cinfaes.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.