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Home » Predictions » Others » Cinfaes x Gondomar Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Cinfaes Cinfaes
PREDICTION Cinfaes wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Gondomar Gondomar
ODD: @1.27 Don't miss this prediction!

Cinfaes x Gondomar Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Cinfaes x Gondomar, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
15:00
Cinfaes Cinfaes
1.27
X
4.80
Gondomar Gondomar
9.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cinfaes x Gondomar:

🔮 Cinfaes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cinfaes, you can win up to $635.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cinfaes x Gondomar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cinfaes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gondomar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cinfaes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Gondomar, Cinfaes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Gondomar matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cinfaes x Gondomar, with Cinfaes as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Cinfaes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Gondomar.
👉 Cinfaes is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cinfaes x Gondomar for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January

🏟️ Cinfaes X Gondomar – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Cinfaes – Winning probability: 90.12% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.69% | Fair line: 11.5
🔴 Gondomar – Winning probability: 1.19% | Fair line: 84.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cinfaes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cinfaes and Gondomar.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cinfaes x Gondomar

Should you bet on Cinfaes?

🔵 Cinfaes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $243.00
  • And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$143.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $342.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$568.00.

Is betting on Gondomar worth it?

🔴 Gondomar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $80.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$910.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cinfaes x Gondomar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cinfaes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cinfaes x Gondomar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Cinfaes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Cinfaes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Gondomar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cinfaes x Gondomar

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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