Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po Betting tips for January 12 in Hong Kong 1st Division

Our betting tip for Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 07:00

Citizen AA 1.29

X 5.20

Sham Shui Po 6.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po:

🔮 Citizen AA wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Citizen AA, you can win up to $645.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Citizen AA in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sham Shui Po in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $12.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Citizen AA scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sham Shui Po conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Citizen AA is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po for the Hong Kong 1st Division – 12 of January

When the best bet on Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244796 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po

Is it worth betting on Citizen AA?

🔵 Citizen AA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $263.90;
• And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$173.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
• And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

Is betting on Sham Shui Po worth it?

🔴 Sham Shui Po: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $168.30
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$801.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Citizen AA
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Citizen AA and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Citizen AA.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Citizen AA.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Citizen AA x Sham Shui Po

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.