📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cittadella x Cosenza
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Analysis from Cittadella x Cosenza for the Italy Serie B – 26 of December
🏟️ Cittadella X Cosenza – Italy Serie B
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cittadella and Cosenza.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 281997 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cittadella x Cosenza
Is it worth betting on Cittadella?
🔵 Cittadella: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $441.00;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$71.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $663.00
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$77.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Cosenza?
🔴 Cosenza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $450.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cittadella x Cosenza
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Going ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cittadella
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the market Handicap 1×2 for Cittadella x Cosenza
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Cittadella, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Cittadella. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2market.
Tips for the market Goals Handicap for Cittadella x Cosenza
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at that moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicapmarket.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves