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Home » Predictions » Others » Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Cittadella Vis Modena Cittadella Vis Modena
PREDICTION Pistoiese Wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Pistoiese Pistoiese
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
13:30
Cittadella Vis Modena Cittadella Vis Modena
3.75
X
3.25
Pistoiese Pistoiese
1.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese:

🔮 Pistoiese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pistoiese, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cittadella Vis Modena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pistoiese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Pistoiese scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ Cittadella Vis Modena X Pistoiese – Italy Serie D
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Cittadella Vis Modena – Winning probability: 16.66% | Fair line: 6.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.35% | Fair line: 3.8
🔴 Pistoiese – Winning probability: 56.99% | Fair line: 1.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cittadella Vis Modena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cittadella Vis Modena and Pistoiese.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese

Should you bet on Cittadella Vis Modena?

🔵 Cittadella Vis Modena: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $467.50;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$362.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Should you bet on Pistoiese?

🔴 Pistoiese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $484.50;
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$54.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cittadella Vis Modena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Cittadella Vis Modena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Cittadella Vis Modena.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Pistoiese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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