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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Cittadella Vis Modena Cittadella Vis Modena
PREDICTION No tip
Prato Prato
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Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
13:30
Cittadella Vis Modena Cittadella Vis Modena
2.12
X
3.00
Prato Prato
3.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato

The main points for the tip for Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cittadella Vis Modena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Prato in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ Cittadella Vis Modena did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Cittadella Vis Modena matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cittadella Vis Modena conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Cittadella Vis Modena as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ Cittadella Vis Modena X Prato – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Cittadella Vis Modena – Winning probability: 50.08% | Fair line: 2.0
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.95% | Fair line: 3.23
πŸ”΄ Prato – Winning probability: 18.97% | Fair line: 5.27
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cittadella Vis Modena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato

Is betting on Cittadella Vis Modena worth it?

πŸ”΅ Cittadella Vis Modena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$60.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Should you bet on Prato?

πŸ”΄ Prato: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $421.80
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$388.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cittadella Vis Modena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cittadella Vis Modena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cittadella Vis Modena.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cittadella Vis Modena x Prato

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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