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Home » Predictions » Others » Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 9
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 17h30 Spain Tercera Group 9
Ciudad Torredonjimeno Ciudad Torredonjimeno
PREDICTION Atletico Malagueno Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Atletico Malagueno Atletico Malagueno
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
17:30
Ciudad Torredonjimeno Ciudad Torredonjimeno
5.01
X
3.48
Atletico Malagueno Atletico Malagueno
1.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno:

🔮 Atletico Malagueno wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Malagueno, you can win up to $810.00!

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The main points for the tip for Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ciudad Torredonjimeno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ciudad Torredonjimeno scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Malagueno scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ciudad Torredonjimeno is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 9 of March

🏟️ Ciudad Torredonjimeno X Atletico Malagueno – Spain Tercera Group 9
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Ciudad Torredonjimeno – Winning probability: 7.52% | Fair line: 13.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.35% | Fair line: 4.91
🔴 Atletico Malagueno – Winning probability: 72.13% | Fair line: 1.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Ciudad Torredonjimeno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno

Is it a good idea to bet on Ciudad Torredonjimeno?

🔵 Ciudad Torredonjimeno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $320.80;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$599.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $496.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$304.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Malagueno?

🔴 Atletico Malagueno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $446.40;
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$166.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Ciudad Torredonjimeno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Ciudad Torredonjimeno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Ciudad Torredonjimeno.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Atletico Malagueno.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ciudad Torredonjimeno x Atletico Malagueno

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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