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Home » Predictions » Others » Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
Cjarlins Muzane Cjarlins Muzane
PREDICTION Cjarlins Muzane wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Caravaggio Caravaggio
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
10:00
Cjarlins Muzane Cjarlins Muzane
1.78
X
3.30
Caravaggio Caravaggio
4.12

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio:

🔮 Cjarlins Muzane wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cjarlins Muzane, you can win up to $890.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Caravaggio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cjarlins Muzane scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Caravaggio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Caravaggio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ Cjarlins Muzane X Caravaggio – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Cjarlins Muzane – Winning probability: 62.36% | Fair line: 1.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.83% | Fair line: 4.38
🔴 Caravaggio – Winning probability: 14.82% | Fair line: 6.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cjarlins Muzane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cjarlins Muzane and Caravaggio.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio

Is it a good idea to bet on Cjarlins Muzane?

🔵 Cjarlins Muzane: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $483.60;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$103.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $529.00
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.00.

Is betting on Caravaggio worth it?

🔴 Caravaggio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $468.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$382.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cjarlins Muzane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cjarlins Muzane and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cjarlins Muzane.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cjarlins Muzane.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cjarlins Muzane x Caravaggio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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