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Home » Predictions » Others » Clodiense x US Pergolettese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group A
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h30 Italy Serie C Group A
Clodiense Clodiense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
US Pergolettese US Pergolettese
ODD: @3.02 Don't miss this prediction!

Clodiense x US Pergolettese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Clodiense x US Pergolettese, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:30
Clodiense Clodiense
2.88
X
3.02
US Pergolettese US Pergolettese
2.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Clodiense x US Pergolettese:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1510.00!

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Important information for your tip for Clodiense x US Pergolettese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Clodiense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on US Pergolettese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Clodiense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 US Pergolettese matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Clodiense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Clodiense x US Pergolettese for the Italy Serie C Group A – 12 of January

🏟️ Clodiense X US Pergolettese – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Clodiense – Winning probability: 38.86% | Fair line: 2.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.54% | Fair line: 2.9
🔴 US Pergolettese – Winning probability: 26.60% | Fair line: 3.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Clodiense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Clodiense x US Pergolettese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Clodiense x US Pergolettese

Is it a good idea to bet on Clodiense?

🔵 Clodiense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $733.20;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$123.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $707.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$57.00.

Is it worth betting on US Pergolettese?

🔴 US Pergolettese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $359.10;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Clodiense x US Pergolettese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Clodiense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Clodiense x US Pergolettese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Clodiense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Clodiense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Clodiense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Clodiense x US Pergolettese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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