Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre Betting tips for September 29 in Argentina Torneo A
📅 29/9/2024 20:00 |
Club Atlético El Linqueño 2.33 |
X 2.90 |
Club Villa Mitre 2.92 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre
Important information for your tip for Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atlético El Linqueño in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-360.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre for the Argentina Torneo A – 29 of September
🏟️ Club Atlético El Linqueño X Club Villa Mitre – Argentina Torneo A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Atlético El Linqueño and Club Villa Mitre.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre
Is it a good idea to bet on Club Atlético El Linqueño?
🔵 Club Atlético El Linqueño: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $545.30;
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$44.70.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $703.00;
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$73.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on Club Villa Mitre?
🔴 Club Villa Mitre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $422.40;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$357.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Club Atlético El Linqueño
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Club Atlético El Linqueño, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Club Atlético El Linqueño.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atlético El Linqueño x Club Villa Mitre
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.