Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football Betting tips for September 29 in Uruguay Clausura
| 📅 29/9/2024 20:00 |
 Club Atletico Progreso5.50 |
X 4.10 |
Nacional De Football  1.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football:
🔮 Nacional De Football wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nacional De Football, you can win up to $750.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-43.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football:
Analysis from Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football for the Uruguay Clausura – 29 of September
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🏟️ Club Atletico Progreso X Nacional De Football – Uruguay Clausura |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football
Should you bet on Club Atletico Progreso?
🔵 Club Atletico Progreso: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $180.00
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$780.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $279.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$631.00.
Should you bet on Nacional De Football?
🔴 Nacional De Football: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
- And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$305.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Club Atletico Progreso.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Nacional De Football.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Progreso x Nacional De Football
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
