Club Aurora x Real Santa Cruz Betting tips for December 1 in Bolivia Clausura
| 📅 1/12/2024 00:00 |
 Club Aurora1.25 |
X 5.00 |
Real Santa Cruz  9.45 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Aurora x Real Santa Cruz:
🔮 Club Aurora wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Aurora, you can win up to $625.00!
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The main points for the tip for Club Aurora x Real Santa Cruz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Aurora in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $252.0. |
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Analysis from Club Aurora x Real Santa Cruz for the Bolivia Clausura – 1 of December
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🏟️ Club Aurora X Real Santa Cruz – Bolivia Clausura |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Aurora and Real Santa Cruz.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Aurora x Real Santa Cruz
Is betting on Club Aurora worth it?
🔵 Club Aurora: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 92.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $230.00
- And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$150.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $240.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.
Should you bet on Real Santa Cruz?
🔴 Real Santa Cruz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $169.00
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$811.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Aurora x Real Santa Cruz
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Club Aurora
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Aurora x Real Santa Cruz
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Club Aurora, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Club Aurora.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Aurora x Real Santa Cruz
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
