Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH Betting tips for November 30 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 17:15

Club Brugge 1.25

X 6.00

FCV Dender EH 10.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH

The main points for the tip for Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Brugge in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $221.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FCV Dender EH in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Club Brugge scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FCV Dender EH conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Club Brugge is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH for the Belgium First Division A – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH

Is betting on Club Brugge worth it?

🔵 Club Brugge: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $202.50
• And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$12.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Should you bet on FCV Dender EH?

🔴 FCV Dender EH: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $1170.00
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$300.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Club Brugge
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Club Brugge and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Club Brugge.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 FCV Dender EH.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Brugge x FCV Dender EH

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.