📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Club Brugge x Sint-Truidense
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Analysis from Club Brugge x Sint-Truidense for the Belgium First Division A – 15 of January
🏟️ Club Brugge X Sint-Truidense – Belgium First Division A
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Brugge and Sint-Truidense.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Brugge x Sint-Truidense
Should you bet on Club Brugge?
🔵 Club Brugge: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $215.80
- And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$45.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $403.65
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$506.35.
Should you bet on Sint-Truidense?
🔴 Sint-Truidense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $702.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Brugge x Sint-Truidense
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Club Brugge
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Brugge x Sint-Truidense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Club Brugge and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Club Brugge.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Sint-Truidense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Brugge x Sint-Truidense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves