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Home » Predictions » Club Calor x Poza Rica Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 22h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Club Calor Club Calor
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Poza Rica Poza Rica
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Calor x Poza Rica Betting tips for November 30 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Club Calor x Poza Rica, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
22:00
Club Calor Club Calor
1.81
X
3.50
Poza Rica Poza Rica
3.84

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Club Calor x Poza Rica:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Club Calor x Poza Rica:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Calor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Poza Rica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $450.0.
👉 In the last 4 Club Calor matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Poza Rica conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Club Calor x Poza Rica?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Club Calor x Poza Rica, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Club Calor x Poza Rica for the Mexico Segunda Division – 30 of November

🏟️ Club Calor X Poza Rica – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Club Calor – Winning probability: 48.72% | Fair line: 2.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.05% | Fair line: 3.12
🔴 Poza Rica – Winning probability: 19.23% | Fair line: 5.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Club Calor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Club Calor x Poza Rica right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Calor x Poza Rica

Is it a good idea to bet on Club Calor?

🔵 Club Calor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $396.90;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$113.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $800.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Poza Rica?

🔴 Poza Rica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $539.60;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Calor x Poza Rica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Club Calor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Calor x Poza Rica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Club Calor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Club Calor.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Poza Rica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Calor x Poza Rica

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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