Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara Betting tips for April 13 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 01:06

Club Celaya 1.67

X 3.65

Universidad Guadalajara 4.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara:

🔮 Club Celaya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Celaya, you can win up to $835.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Celaya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $65.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Club Celaya scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Universidad Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara, with Club Celaya as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Universidad Guadalajara conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Club Celaya is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Club Celaya has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Universidad Guadalajara playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara:

Analysis from Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Celaya and Universidad Guadalajara.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302086 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara

Should you bet on Club Celaya?

🔵 Club Celaya: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $415.40;
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$35.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $662.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$87.50.

Is betting on Universidad Guadalajara worth it?

🔴 Universidad Guadalajara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $429.00
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$441.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Club Celaya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Club Celaya.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Celaya x Universidad Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.