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Coalville x AFC Sudbury Betting tips for November 21 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Coalville x AFC Sudbury, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Coalville Coalville
1.36
X
4.80
AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury
5.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Coalville x AFC Sudbury:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Coalville wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Coalville, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Coalville x AFC Sudbury:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Coalville in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-214.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AFC Sudbury in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, AFC Sudbury scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 AFC Sudbury matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Coalville conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, AFC Sudbury conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Coalville x AFC Sudbury

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Summary

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Analysis from Coalville x AFC Sudbury for the England Southern Premier League Central – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Coalville X AFC Sudbury – England Southern Premier League Central
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Coalville – Winning probability: 90.18% | Fair line: 1.11
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.73% | Fair line: 17.44
๐Ÿ”ด AFC Sudbury – Winning probability: 4.09% | Fair line: 24.48
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Coalville
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Coalville x AFC Sudbury is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024310 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Coalville x AFC Sudbury

Should you bet on Coalville?

๐Ÿ”ต Coalville: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $324.00;
  • And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$224.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $228.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$712.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on AFC Sudbury?

๐Ÿ”ด AFC Sudbury: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $190.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$770.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Coalville x AFC Sudbury

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Coalville
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Coalville x AFC Sudbury

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Coalville, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Coalville.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 AFC Sudbury.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Coalville x AFC Sudbury

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves