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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Cobreloa x Magallanes Betting tips for April 12 in Chile Primera B
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 21h30 Chile Primera B
Cobreloa Cobreloa
PREDICTION No tip
Magallanes Magallanes
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Cobreloa x Magallanes Betting tips for April 12 in Chile Primera B

Our betting tip for Cobreloa x Magallanes, Saturday, 12/4/2025
πŸ“… 12/4/2025
21:30
Cobreloa Cobreloa
1.96
X
3.25
Magallanes Magallanes
3.34

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cobreloa x Magallanes:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Cobreloa x Magallanes

The main points for the tip for Cobreloa x Magallanes:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cobreloa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Magallanes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Magallanes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Magallanes, Cobreloa scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Cobreloa has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Magallanes playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cobreloa x Magallanes for the Chile Primera B – 12 of April

🏟️ Cobreloa X Magallanes – Chile Primera B
πŸ“… 12 of April, 2025 – 21:30
πŸ”΅ Cobreloa – Winning probability: 47.42% | Fair line: 2.11
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.49% | Fair line: 3.51
πŸ”΄ Magallanes – Winning probability: 24.09% | Fair line: 4.15
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cobreloa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cobreloa x Magallanes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cobreloa x Magallanes

Is betting on Cobreloa worth it?

πŸ”΅ Cobreloa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $451.20;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$78.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$90.00.

Should you bet on Magallanes?

πŸ”΄ Magallanes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $561.60;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$198.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cobreloa x Magallanes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cobreloa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cobreloa x Magallanes

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cobreloa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cobreloa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Magallanes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cobreloa x Magallanes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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