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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cologne x Karlsruher SC Betting tips for September 29 in Germany Bundesliga II
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h30 Germany Bundesliga II
Cologne Cologne
PREDICTION Cologne wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Cologne x Karlsruher SC Betting tips for September 29 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Cologne x Karlsruher SC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
08:30
Cologne Cologne
1.70
X
4.07
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC
4.11

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cologne x Karlsruher SC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cologne wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cologne, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Cologne x Karlsruher SC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cologne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Karlsruher SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-167.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cologne scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Karlsruher SC scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Cologne matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Karlsruher SC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Karlsruher SC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cologne x Karlsruher SC for the Germany Bundesliga II – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cologne X Karlsruher SC – Germany Bundesliga II
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 08:30
๐Ÿ”ต Cologne – Winning probability: 82.08% | Fair line: 1.22
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.33% | Fair line: 9.68
๐Ÿ”ด Karlsruher SC – Winning probability: 7.59% | Fair line: 13.17
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cologne
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cologne and Karlsruher SC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cologne x Karlsruher SC

Is it worth betting on Cologne?

๐Ÿ”ต Cologne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$394.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $307.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$593.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Karlsruher SC?

๐Ÿ”ด Karlsruher SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $248.80;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$671.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cologne x Karlsruher SC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cologne
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cologne x Karlsruher SC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Cologne and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Cologne.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Cologne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cologne x Karlsruher SC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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