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Home » Predictions » Others » Comercial FC x Catanduva FC Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 23h00 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
Comercial FC Comercial FC
PREDICTION No tip
Catanduva FC Catanduva FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Comercial FC x Catanduva FC Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3

Our betting tip for Comercial FC x Catanduva FC, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
23:00
Comercial FC Comercial FC
2.60
X
2.87
Catanduva FC Catanduva FC
2.67

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Comercial FC x Catanduva FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Comercial FC x Catanduva FC

The main points for the tip for Comercial FC x Catanduva FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Comercial FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Catanduva FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $48.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Comercial FC x Catanduva FC for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 – 5 of February

🏟️ Comercial FC X Catanduva FC – Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Comercial FC – Winning probability: 29.46% | Fair line: 3.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.18% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 Catanduva FC – Winning probability: 35.36% | Fair line: 2.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Comercial FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Comercial FC and Catanduva FC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257906 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Comercial FC x Catanduva FC

Should you bet on Comercial FC?

🔵 Comercial FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $464.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$246.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $654.50;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$4.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Catanduva FC worth it?

🔴 Catanduva FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $584.50
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$65.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Comercial FC x Catanduva FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Comercial FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Comercial FC x Catanduva FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Comercial FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Comercial FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Catanduva FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Comercial FC x Catanduva FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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