Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes Betting tips for September 29 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 17:30

Comerciantes Unidos 7.50

X 4.40

Universitario de Deportes 1.36

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes:

🔮 Universitario de Deportes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universitario de Deportes, you can win up to $680.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Comerciantes Unidos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $247.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Universitario de Deportes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Comerciantes Unidos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Universitario de Deportes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Comerciantes Unidos conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Universitario de Deportes. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Universitario de Deportes has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes for the Peru Liga 1 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes

Should you bet on Comerciantes Unidos?

🔵 Comerciantes Unidos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $715.00
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $510.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

Should you bet on Universitario de Deportes?

🔴 Universitario de Deportes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 730 times – profiting $262.80;
• And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$7.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Comerciantes Unidos
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Comerciantes Unidos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Comerciantes Unidos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Comerciantes Unidos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Comerciantes Unidos x Universitario de Deportes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.