Compostela x Numancia Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 12/1/2025 11:00 |
Compostela 3.26 |
X 2.92 |
Numancia 2.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Compostela x Numancia:
🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Compostela x Numancia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Numancia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-138.0. |
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Analysis from Compostela x Numancia for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 12 of January
🏟️ Compostela X Numancia – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Compostela x Numancia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Compostela x Numancia
Is it a good idea to bet on Compostela?
🔵 Compostela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $474.60;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$315.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 390 times – profiting $748.80;
- And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$138.80.
Is betting on Numancia worth it?
🔴 Numancia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $480.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$120.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Compostela x Numancia
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Compostela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Compostela x Numancia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Compostela, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Compostela.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Compostela x Numancia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.