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Home » Predictions » Others » Compostela x Real Aviles CF Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Compostela Compostela
PREDICTION Real Aviles CF Wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Real Aviles CF Real Aviles CF
ODD: @3.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Compostela x Real Aviles CF Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Compostela x Real Aviles CF, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
16:00
Compostela Compostela
2.30
X
2.88
Real Aviles CF Real Aviles CF
3.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Compostela x Real Aviles CF:

🔮 Real Aviles CF wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Aviles CF, you can win up to $1525.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Compostela x Real Aviles CF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Compostela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Aviles CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Compostela scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Real Aviles CF, Compostela scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Compostela matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Compostela x Real Aviles CF, with Compostela as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Compostela conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Real Aviles CF has not lost any of them.
👉 Compostela has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Real Aviles CF.

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Summary

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Analysis from Compostela x Real Aviles CF for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 9 of March

🏟️ Compostela X Real Aviles CF – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Compostela – Winning probability: 30.70% | Fair line: 3.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.75% | Fair line: 3.15
🔴 Real Aviles CF – Winning probability: 37.56% | Fair line: 2.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Compostela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Compostela x Real Aviles CF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Compostela x Real Aviles CF

Is it a good idea to bet on Compostela?

🔵 Compostela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $403.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $601.60
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$78.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Aviles CF?

🔴 Real Aviles CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $779.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$159.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Compostela x Real Aviles CF

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Compostela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Compostela x Real Aviles CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Compostela, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Compostela.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Compostela x Real Aviles CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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