Concon National x Provincial Ovalle Betting tips for September 29 in Chile Segunda

Our betting tip for Concon National x Provincial Ovalle, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 15:00

Concon National 1.96

X 3.28

Provincial Ovalle 3.54

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Concon National x Provincial Ovalle:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Concon National x Provincial Ovalle

The main points for the tip for Concon National x Provincial Ovalle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Concon National in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Provincial Ovalle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Provincial Ovalle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Concon National conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Concon National x Provincial Ovalle?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Concon National x Provincial Ovalle for the Chile Segunda – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Concon National and Provincial Ovalle.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Concon National x Provincial Ovalle

Is it worth betting on Concon National?

🔵 Concon National: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $518.40;
• And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$58.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $661.20
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Provincial Ovalle?

🔴 Provincial Ovalle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $431.80;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$398.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Concon National x Provincial Ovalle

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Concon National
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Concon National x Provincial Ovalle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Concon National, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Concon National.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Concon National x Provincial Ovalle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.