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Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town Betting tips for November 21 in England Isthmian Premier Division

Our betting tip for Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Concord Rangers Concord Rangers
3.10
X
3.60
Potters Bar Town Potters Bar Town
1.94

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Potters Bar Town wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Potters Bar Town, you can win up to $970.00!

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The main points for the tip for Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Concord Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Potters Bar Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $620.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Concord Rangers matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Concord Rangers conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Concord Rangers as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town

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Summary

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Analysis from Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town for the England Isthmian Premier Division – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Concord Rangers X Potters Bar Town – England Isthmian Premier Division
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Concord Rangers – Winning probability: 15.10% | Fair line: 6.62
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.14% | Fair line: 4.14
๐Ÿ”ด Potters Bar Town – Winning probability: 60.75% | Fair line: 1.65
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Concord Rangers
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Concord Rangers and Potters Bar Town.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town

Should you bet on Concord Rangers?

๐Ÿ”ต Concord Rangers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$535.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$136.00.

Should you bet on Potters Bar Town?

๐Ÿ”ด Potters Bar Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $573.40;
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$183.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Concord Rangers
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Concord Rangers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Concord Rangers.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Potters Bar Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Concord Rangers x Potters Bar Town

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves