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Home » Predictions » Others » Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Conquense Conquense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda
ODD: @2.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:00
Conquense Conquense
2.37
X
2.95
Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda
2.94

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1475.00!

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The main points for the tip for Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Conquense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rayo Majadahonda in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 3 Rayo Majadahonda matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Conquense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Rayo Majadahonda conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 12 of January

🏟️ Conquense X Rayo Majadahonda – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Conquense – Winning probability: 35.32% | Fair line: 2.83
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.56% | Fair line: 2.59
🔴 Rayo Majadahonda – Winning probability: 26.12% | Fair line: 3.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Conquense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Conquense and Rayo Majadahonda.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda

Is betting on Conquense worth it?

🔵 Conquense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $479.50
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$170.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $760.50
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$150.50.

Is betting on Rayo Majadahonda worth it?

🔴 Rayo Majadahonda: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $504.40;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$235.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Conquense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Conquense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Conquense.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Conquense x Rayo Majadahonda

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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