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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Cordoba x Almeria Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h00 Spain Segunda
Cordoba Cordoba
PREDICTION No tip
Almeria Almeria
Don't miss this prediction!

Cordoba x Almeria Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Cordoba x Almeria, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
13:00
Cordoba Cordoba
2.65
X
3.40
Almeria Almeria
2.42

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cordoba x Almeria:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cordoba x Almeria

Some important points for the tip for Cordoba x Almeria:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Almeria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $457.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cordoba scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Almeria scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Almeria, Cordoba scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Cordoba x Almeria, with Cordoba as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Cordoba matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Almeria conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Almeria has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Cordoba has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Almeria playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cordoba x Almeria for the Spain Segunda – 12 of January

🏟️ Cordoba X Almeria – Spain Segunda
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Cordoba – Winning probability: 38.59% | Fair line: 2.59
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.19% | Fair line: 3.55
πŸ”΄ Almeria – Winning probability: 33.22% | Fair line: 3.01
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cordoba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cordoba and Almeria.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cordoba x Almeria

Should you bet on Cordoba?

πŸ”΅ Cordoba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $643.50
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$33.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$48.00.

Is betting on Almeria worth it?

πŸ”΄ Almeria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $468.60
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$201.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cordoba x Almeria

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cordoba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cordoba x Almeria

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cordoba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Cordoba.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Cordoba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cordoba x Almeria

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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