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Home » Predictions » Others » Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC Betting tips for January 11 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 22h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Cordobes Futbol Club Cordobes Futbol Club
PREDICTION No tip
Artesanos Metepec FC Artesanos Metepec FC
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Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC Betting tips for January 11 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
22:00
Cordobes Futbol Club Cordobes Futbol Club
1.89
X
3.27
Artesanos Metepec FC Artesanos Metepec FC
3.69

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC

The main points for the tip for Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Artesanos Metepec FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-17.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cordobes Futbol Club scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Cordobes Futbol Club matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC for the Mexico Segunda Division – 11 of January

🏟️ Cordobes Futbol Club X Artesanos Metepec FC – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Cordobes Futbol Club – Winning probability: 27.73% | Fair line: 3.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.68% | Fair line: 3.16
🔴 Artesanos Metepec FC – Winning probability: 40.59% | Fair line: 2.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cordobes Futbol Club
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244796 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC

Should you bet on Cordobes Futbol Club?

🔵 Cordobes Futbol Club: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $249.20
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$470.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $726.40;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$46.40.

Should you bet on Artesanos Metepec FC?

🔴 Artesanos Metepec FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $1102.90
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$512.90. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cordobes Futbol Club
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cordobes Futbol Club, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cordobes Futbol Club.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Artesanos Metepec FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cordobes Futbol Club x Artesanos Metepec FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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