Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil Betting tips for March 13 in Copa Libertadores Qualification

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil, Thursday, 13/3/2025

📅 13/3/2025 00:30

Corinthians 1.39

X 4.89

Barcelona Guayaquil 6.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil:

🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $695.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $127.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona Guayaquil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Corinthians scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Barcelona Guayaquil scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Corinthians is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Barcelona Guayaquil is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil:

Analysis from Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil for the Copa Libertadores Qualification – 13 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280484 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔵 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $319.80
• And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$139.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $427.90
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$462.10.

Is betting on Barcelona Guayaquil worth it?

🔴 Barcelona Guayaquil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $358.40;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Corinthians.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Barcelona Guayaquil.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Barcelona Guayaquil

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.