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Home » Predictions » Others » Corinthians x Santos Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Corinthians Corinthians
PREDICTION Santos Wins Probability 31% 1 X 2
Santos Santos
ODD: @3.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Corinthians x Santos Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Santos, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
21:30
Corinthians Corinthians
1.94
X
3.25
Santos Santos
3.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Corinthians x Santos:

🔮 Santos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos, you can win up to $1825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Corinthians x Santos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $72.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Corinthians scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Corinthians has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Santos playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Santos?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Corinthians x Santos:

Analysis from Corinthians x Santos for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 9 of March

🏟️ Corinthians X Santos – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Corinthians – Winning probability: 41.24% | Fair line: 2.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.50% | Fair line: 3.64
🔴 Santos – Winning probability: 31.26% | Fair line: 3.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Corinthians x Santos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277528 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Corinthians x Santos

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔵 Corinthians: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $385.40;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$204.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Should you bet on Santos?

🔴 Santos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $821.50;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$131.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Santos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Santos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Corinthians, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Corinthians.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Santos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Santos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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