Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino Betting tips for April 17 in Brazil Serie B
| 📅 17/4/2025 00:00 |
 Coritiba2.30 |
X 2.90 |
Gremio Novorizontino  3.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!
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Important information for your tip for Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Coritiba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. |
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Analysis from Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino for the Brazil Serie B – 17 of April
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🏟️ Coritiba X Gremio Novorizontino – Brazil Serie B |
When the best bet on Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305181 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino
Should you bet on Coritiba?
🔵 Coritiba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $533.00
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$57.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $703.00;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$73.00.
Is it worth betting on Gremio Novorizontino?
🔴 Gremio Novorizontino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Coritiba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Coritiba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Coritiba.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Coritiba.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Coritiba x Gremio Novorizontino
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
