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22/1/2022 10:00 |
 Corum Belediyespor1.33 |
X 4.50 |
Ergene Velimese Spor  7.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Corum Belediyespor x Ergene Velimese Spor:
๐ฎ Corum Belediyespor wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corum Belediyespor, you can win up to $665.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Corum Belediyespor x Ergene Velimese Spor
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Analysis from Corum Belediyespor x Ergene Velimese Spor for the Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ Corum Belediyespor X Ergene Velimese Spor – Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Corum Belediyespor x Ergene Velimese Spor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Corum Belediyespor x Ergene Velimese Spor
Should you bet on Corum Belediyespor?
๐ต Corum Belediyespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 940 times – profiting $310.20;
- And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$250.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $105.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$865.00.
Should you bet on Ergene Velimese Spor?
๐ด Ergene Velimese Spor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $195.00
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$775.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Corum Belediyespor x Ergene Velimese Spor
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Corum Belediyespor
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corum Belediyespor x Ergene Velimese Spor
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Corum Belediyespor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Corum Belediyespor.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Ergene Velimese Spor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corum Belediyespor x Ergene Velimese Spor
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
