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Home » Predictions » Others » Coruxo x UD Llanera Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Coruxo Coruxo
PREDICTION Coruxo wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
UD Llanera UD Llanera
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction!

Coruxo x UD Llanera Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Coruxo x UD Llanera, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:30
Coruxo Coruxo
1.77
X
3.15
UD Llanera UD Llanera
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Coruxo x UD Llanera:

🔮 Coruxo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Coruxo, you can win up to $885.00!

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The main points for the tip for Coruxo x UD Llanera:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Coruxo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-167.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Llanera in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, UD Llanera scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Coruxo x UD Llanera for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 2 of February

🏟️ Coruxo X UD Llanera – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Coruxo – Winning probability: 60.49% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.54% | Fair line: 3.63
🔴 UD Llanera – Winning probability: 11.96% | Fair line: 8.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Coruxo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Coruxo x UD Llanera is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Coruxo x UD Llanera

Is betting on Coruxo worth it?

🔵 Coruxo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$62.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $602.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.00.

Should you bet on UD Llanera?

🔴 UD Llanera: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$496.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Coruxo x UD Llanera

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Coruxo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Coruxo x UD Llanera

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Coruxo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Coruxo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 UD Llanera.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Coruxo x UD Llanera

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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