📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cosenza x Ascoli
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Analysis from Cosenza x Ascoli for the Italy Serie B – 22 of January
🏟️ Cosenza X Ascoli – Italy Serie B
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cosenza and Ascoli.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cosenza x Ascoli
Is betting on Cosenza worth it?
🔵 Cosenza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $440.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$310.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $860.00
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$260.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Ascoli?
🔴 Ascoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $521.50;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$128.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cosenza x Ascoli
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cosenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cosenza x Ascoli
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Cosenza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cosenza.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cosenza x Ascoli
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves