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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 2
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 2
Covadonga Covadonga
PREDICTION No tip
Sporting Gijon B Sporting Gijon B
Don't miss this prediction!

Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
11:00
Covadonga Covadonga
2.14
X
2.98
Sporting Gijon B Sporting Gijon B
3.16

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B

The main points for the tip for Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Covadonga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $18.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting Gijon B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
πŸ‘‰ Covadonga did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Covadonga scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sporting Gijon B scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B, with Covadonga as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Covadonga is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Sporting Gijon B has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 1 of December

🏟️ Covadonga X Sporting Gijon B – Spain Tercera Group 2
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Covadonga – Winning probability: 37.04% | Fair line: 2.7
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.31% | Fair line: 2.83
πŸ”΄ Sporting Gijon B – Winning probability: 27.65% | Fair line: 3.62
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Covadonga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Covadonga and Sporting Gijon B.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B

Is it worth betting on Covadonga?

πŸ”΅ Covadonga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $421.80;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$208.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$43.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Sporting Gijon B worth it?

πŸ”΄ Sporting Gijon B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $604.80;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$115.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Covadonga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Covadonga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Covadonga.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Covadonga x Sporting Gijon B

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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