Covadonga x Tuilla Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for Covadonga x Tuilla, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 10:30

Covadonga 1.35

X 4.33

Tuilla 7.43

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Covadonga x Tuilla:

🔮 Covadonga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Covadonga, you can win up to $675.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Covadonga x Tuilla: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Covadonga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-99.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tuilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $262.0. 👉 Covadonga did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tuilla scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tuilla, Covadonga scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Tuilla has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Covadonga x Tuilla?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Covadonga x Tuilla, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Covadonga x Tuilla for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Covadonga x Tuilla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Covadonga x Tuilla

Is it worth betting on Covadonga?

🔵 Covadonga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $304.50;
• And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$174.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $333.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$567.00.

Is betting on Tuilla worth it?

🔴 Tuilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $128.60
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$851.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Covadonga x Tuilla

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Covadonga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Covadonga x Tuilla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Covadonga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Covadonga.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Tuilla.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Covadonga x Tuilla

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.