Cowdenbeath x Brechin Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup
| 📅 30/11/2024 15:00 |
 Cowdenbeath5.40 |
X 4.88 |
Brechin  1.41 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cowdenbeath x Brechin:
🔮 Brechin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brechin, you can win up to $705.00!
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The main points for the tip for Cowdenbeath x Brechin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brechin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-367.0. |
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Analysis from Cowdenbeath x Brechin for the Scotland FA Cup – 30 of November
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🏟️ Cowdenbeath X Brechin – Scotland FA Cup |
When the best bet on Cowdenbeath x Brechin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cowdenbeath x Brechin
Should you bet on Cowdenbeath?
🔵 Cowdenbeath: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$730.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $194.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$756.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Brechin?
🔴 Brechin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 900 times – profiting $369.00;
- And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$269.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cowdenbeath x Brechin
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Cowdenbeath
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cowdenbeath x Brechin
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Cowdenbeath and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Cowdenbeath.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Cowdenbeath.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cowdenbeath x Brechin
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
