Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec Betting tips for September 30 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 14:00

Cracovia Krakow 1.75

X 3.50

Stal Mielec 4.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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Important information for your tip for Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cracovia Krakow in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Stal Mielec in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cracovia Krakow scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Stal Mielec, Cracovia Krakow scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Cracovia Krakow matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec, with Cracovia Krakow as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cracovia Krakow conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Stal Mielec conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Cracovia Krakow conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Stal Mielec. 👉 Cracovia Krakow has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Stal Mielec playing at home.

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Analysis from Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 30 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cracovia Krakow and Stal Mielec.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec

Is it worth betting on Cracovia Krakow?

🔵 Cracovia Krakow: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $345.00
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $1025.00
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$435.00.

Is it worth betting on Stal Mielec?

🔴 Stal Mielec: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $432.90;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$437.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cracovia Krakow
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cracovia Krakow, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Cracovia Krakow.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Stal Mielec.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cracovia Krakow x Stal Mielec

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.