Crawley Town x Lincoln City Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup
| 📅 30/11/2024 15:00 |
 Crawley Town3.56 |
X 3.40 |
Lincoln City  1.95 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Crawley Town x Lincoln City:
🔮 Lincoln City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lincoln City, you can win up to $975.00!
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The main points for the tip for Crawley Town x Lincoln City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crawley Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0. |
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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Crawley Town x Lincoln City:
Analysis from Crawley Town x Lincoln City for the England FA Cup – 30 of November
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🏟️ Crawley Town X Lincoln City – England FA Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Crawley Town x Lincoln City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Crawley Town x Lincoln City
Should you bet on Crawley Town?
🔵 Crawley Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $486.40;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$323.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$592.00.
Is it worth betting on Lincoln City?
🔴 Lincoln City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $655.50;
- And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$345.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Crawley Town x Lincoln City
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Crawley Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crawley Town x Lincoln City
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Crawley Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Crawley Town.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lincoln City.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crawley Town x Lincoln City
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
