Crawley Town x Mansfield Betting tips for October 1 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Crawley Town x Mansfield, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:45

Crawley Town 2.70

X 3.50

Mansfield 2.36

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Crawley Town x Mansfield:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Crawley Town x Mansfield

Important information for your tip for Crawley Town x Mansfield: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crawley Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mansfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mansfield, Crawley Town scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Crawley Town x Mansfield, with Crawley Town as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Crawley Town conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Crawley Town conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Mansfield. 👉 Crawley Town is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Crawley Town x Mansfield?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Crawley Town x Mansfield:

Analysis from Crawley Town x Mansfield for the England League 1 – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Crawley Town x Mansfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crawley Town x Mansfield

Is betting on Crawley Town worth it?

🔵 Crawley Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $625.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is betting on Mansfield worth it?

🔴 Mansfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $598.40
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$38.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crawley Town x Mansfield

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Crawley Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crawley Town x Mansfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Crawley Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Crawley Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Mansfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crawley Town x Mansfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.