📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Crewe x Shrewsbury
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Analysis from Crewe x Shrewsbury for the England League 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Crewe X Shrewsbury – England League 1
When the best bet on Crewe x Shrewsbury is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Crewe x Shrewsbury
Is it worth betting on Crewe?
🔵 Crewe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $501.60
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$258.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $616.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.
Should you bet on Shrewsbury?
🔴 Shrewsbury: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 480 times – profiting $614.40;
- And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$94.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Crewe x Shrewsbury
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Crewe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crewe x Shrewsbury
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Crewe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Crewe.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Shrewsbury.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crewe x Shrewsbury
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves