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Home » Predictions » Others » Crotone x Foggia Betting tips for April 14 in Italy Serie C Group C
Monday, 14 April 2025, 18h30 Italy Serie C Group C
Crotone Crotone
PREDICTION Crotone wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Foggia Foggia
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Crotone x Foggia Betting tips for April 14 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Crotone x Foggia, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
18:30
Crotone Crotone
1.44
X
4.00
Foggia Foggia
6.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Crotone x Foggia:

🔮 Crotone wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crotone, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Crotone x Foggia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crotone in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $471.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Foggia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Crotone scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Foggia, Crotone scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Crotone matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Foggia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Crotone conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Foggia.
👉 Crotone is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Crotone has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Foggia playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Foggia as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Crotone x Foggia for the Italy Serie C Group C – 14 of April

🏟️ Crotone X Foggia – Italy Serie C Group C
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Crotone – Winning probability: 79.58% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.10% | Fair line: 7.64
🔴 Foggia – Winning probability: 7.33% | Fair line: 13.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Crotone
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Crotone x Foggia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1303016 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crotone x Foggia

Is it a good idea to bet on Crotone?

🔵 Crotone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$152.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$480.00.

Should you bet on Foggia?

🔴 Foggia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$552.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Crotone x Foggia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Crotone
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crotone x Foggia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Crotone, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Crotone.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Foggia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crotone x Foggia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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