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Home » Predictions » Others » Crotone x Giugliano Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie C Group C
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 16h30 Italy Serie C Group C
Crotone Crotone
PREDICTION Crotone wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Giugliano Giugliano
ODD: @1.64 Don't miss this prediction!

Crotone x Giugliano Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Crotone x Giugliano, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
16:30
Crotone Crotone
1.64
X
3.72
Giugliano Giugliano
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Crotone x Giugliano:

🔮 Crotone wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crotone, you can win up to $820.00!

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The main points for the tip for Crotone x Giugliano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crotone in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Giugliano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Crotone x Giugliano for the Italy Serie C Group C – 9 of March

🏟️ Crotone X Giugliano – Italy Serie C Group C
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Crotone – Winning probability: 71.41% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.89% | Fair line: 5.03
🔴 Giugliano – Winning probability: 8.70% | Fair line: 11.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Crotone
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Crotone x Giugliano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Crotone x Giugliano

Is it worth betting on Crotone?

🔵 Crotone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $454.40
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$164.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Giugliano?

🔴 Giugliano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $288.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Crotone x Giugliano

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Crotone
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crotone x Giugliano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Crotone and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Crotone.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Giugliano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crotone x Giugliano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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